Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich: Team Comparison
Borussia DortmundvsBayern Munich 
Comparing Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bayern Munich — a 60% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bayern Munich carry the stronger recent form, Bayern Munich project for more goals (1.72 xG), Bayern Munich have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Borussia Dortmund | Metric | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Strength rating | 85 |
| 20% | Win probability | 60% |
| D W W L L | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 11 |
| 0.83 | Expected goals | 1.72 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Borussia Dortmund or Bayern Munich?
The model favours Bayern Munich at 60%, with the draw at 20%.