Defence Force Addis Ababa vs Arba Minch: Team Comparison
Defence Force Addis AbabavsArba Minch 
Comparing Defence Force Addis Ababa and Arba Minch across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Defence Force Addis Ababa — a 50% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 16%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Arba Minch carry the stronger recent form, Defence Force Addis Ababa project for more goals (1.58 xG), Defence Force Addis Ababa have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Defence Force Addis Ababa | Metric | Arba Minch |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Strength rating | 60 |
| 50% | Win probability | 34% |
| D L D D W | Recent form | W D W W D |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.58 | Expected goals | 1.04 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Defence Force Addis Ababa or Arba Minch?
The model favours Defence Force Addis Ababa at 50%, with the draw at 16%.