Joinville vs Guarany Bage: Team Comparison
JoinvillevsGuarany Bage 
Comparing Joinville and Guarany Bage across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Joinville — a 62% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 12%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Guarany Bage carry the stronger recent form, Joinville project for more goals (1.86 xG), Joinville have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Joinville | Metric | Guarany Bage |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 62% | Win probability | 26% |
| D L L D L | Recent form | D W W L L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.86 | Expected goals | 0.79 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Joinville or Guarany Bage?
The model favours Joinville at 62%, with the draw at 12%.