Paris Saint-Germain vs Aston Villa: Team Comparison
Paris Saint-GermainvsAston Villa 
Comparing Paris Saint-Germain and Aston Villa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Paris Saint-Germain — a 57% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Paris Saint-Germain carry the stronger recent form, Paris Saint-Germain project for more goals (1.88 xG), Paris Saint-Germain have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Paris Saint-Germain | Metric | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 57% | Win probability | 19% |
| L W W W L | Recent form | D L L L W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.88 | Expected goals | 0.77 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Paris Saint-Germain or Aston Villa?
The model favours Paris Saint-Germain at 57%, with the draw at 23%.