Ecuador vs Guatemala: Team Comparison
EcuadorvsGuatemala 
Comparing Ecuador and Guatemala across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ecuador — a 82% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 6%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Guatemala carry the stronger recent form, Ecuador project for more goals (2.31 xG), Ecuador have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ecuador | Metric | Guatemala |
|---|---|---|
| 81 | Strength rating | 23 |
| 82% | Win probability | 13% |
| L D D L D | Recent form | L L L W W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 2.31 | Expected goals | 0.38 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ecuador or Guatemala?
The model favours Ecuador at 82%, with the draw at 6%.