Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa: Team Comparison
Brighton & Hove AlbionvsAston Villa 
Comparing Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Brighton & Hove Albion — a 46% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Brighton & Hove Albion carry the stronger recent form, Brighton & Hove Albion project for more goals (1.59 xG), Brighton & Hove Albion have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Metric | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Strength rating | 34 |
| 46% | Win probability | 29% |
| L L W W W | Recent form | L L W L L |
| 9 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.59 | Expected goals | 1.03 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Brighton & Hove Albion or Aston Villa?
The model favours Brighton & Hove Albion at 46%, with the draw at 24%.