Newcastle United vs Liverpool: Team Comparison
Newcastle UnitedvsLiverpool 
Comparing Newcastle United and Liverpool across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Liverpool — a 47% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Liverpool project for more goals (1.46 xG), Newcastle United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Newcastle United | Metric | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Strength rating | 59 |
| 30% | Win probability | 47% |
| W W L L D | Recent form | W W L D L |
| 11 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.12 | Expected goals | 1.46 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Newcastle United or Liverpool?
The model favours Liverpool at 47%, with the draw at 23%.