Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United: Team Comparison
Nottingham ForestvsLeeds United 
Comparing Nottingham Forest and Leeds United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Nottingham Forest — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 29%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Leeds United carry the stronger recent form, Nottingham Forest project for more goals (1.55 xG), Leeds United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Nottingham Forest | Metric | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 44 |
| 42% | Win probability | 29% |
| W L L L L | Recent form | L W D L W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.55 | Expected goals | 1.07 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Nottingham Forest or Leeds United?
The model favours Nottingham Forest at 42%, with the draw at 29%.