Denmark vs Wales: Team Comparison
Comparing Denmark and Wales across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Denmark — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Denmark carry the stronger recent form, Denmark project for more goals (1.77 xG), Wales have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Denmark | Metric | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 56% | Win probability | 20% |
| L D D W L | Recent form | L D L L L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.77 | Expected goals | 0.83 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Denmark or Wales?
The model favours Denmark at 56%, with the draw at 24%.