Brazil vs Japan: Team Comparison
BrazilvsJapan 
Comparing Brazil and Japan across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Brazil — a 54% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Brazil carry the stronger recent form, Brazil project for more goals (2.92 xG), Japan have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Brazil | Metric | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | Strength rating | 50 |
| 54% | Win probability | 21% |
| D W D L W | Recent form | W L D L L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 2.92 | Expected goals | 1.48 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Brazil or Japan?
The model favours Brazil at 54%, with the draw at 25%.