France vs Sweden: Team Comparison

France FrancevsSweden Sweden

Comparing France and Sweden across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward France — a 77% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 15%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: France carry the stronger recent form, France project for more goals (3.07 xG), France have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

FranceMetricSweden
92Strength rating32
77%Win probability8%
W W W W LRecent formD L W D L
4Head-to-head wins2
3.07Expected goals0.58
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, France or Sweden?

The model favours France at 77%, with the draw at 15%.