Germany vs Paraguay: Team Comparison
Comparing Germany and Paraguay across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Germany — a 69% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 19%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Germany carry the stronger recent form, Germany project for more goals (4.06 xG), Germany have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Germany | Metric | Paraguay |
|---|---|---|
| 75 | Strength rating | 32 |
| 69% | Win probability | 11% |
| L W W W W | Recent form | D W L W L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 4.06 | Expected goals | 1.09 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Germany or Paraguay?
The model favours Germany at 69%, with the draw at 19%.