Turkey vs Italy: Team Comparison
TurkeyvsItaly 
Turkey and Italy are closely matched across the key metrics — the model splits them at 37% vs 37%, with the draw a live 26%. This is a fixture without an obvious favourite.
The detail backs this up: Turkey carry the stronger recent form, Turkey have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Turkey | Metric | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | Strength rating | 41 |
| 37% | Win probability | 37% |
| W W L L W | Recent form | L W L W L |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.29 | Expected goals | 1.31 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Turkey or Italy?
It's very even: 37% vs 37%, draw 26%.