Sweden vs Poland: Team Comparison
SwedenvsPoland 
Comparing Sweden and Poland across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Sweden — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sweden project for more goals (1.78 xG), Sweden have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sweden | Metric | Poland |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 48% | Win probability | 26% |
| L D L W D | Recent form | D L L W W |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.78 | Expected goals | 1.12 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sweden or Poland?
The model favours Sweden at 48%, with the draw at 26%.