St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City: Team Comparison
St. Louis CityvsSporting Kansas City 
Comparing St. Louis City and Sporting Kansas City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward St. Louis City — a 71% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 17%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: St. Louis City carry the stronger recent form, St. Louis City project for more goals (2.43 xG), Sporting Kansas City have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| St. Louis City | Metric | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| 81 | Strength rating | 34 |
| 71% | Win probability | 12% |
| W W D W W | Recent form | L W W L D |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.43 | Expected goals | 0.56 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, St. Louis City or Sporting Kansas City?
The model favours St. Louis City at 71%, with the draw at 17%.