St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City: Team Comparison
St. Louis CityvsSporting Kansas City 
Comparing St. Louis City and Sporting Kansas City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward St. Louis City — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: St. Louis City carry the stronger recent form, St. Louis City project for more goals (1.59 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| St. Louis City | Metric | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| 65 | Strength rating | 44 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| W D W D W | Recent form | D L L L W |
| 1.59 | Expected goals | 1.14 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, St. Louis City or Sporting Kansas City?
The model favours St. Louis City at 43%, with the draw at 26%.