Luzern vs Thun: Team Comparison
LuzernvsThun 
Comparing Luzern and Thun across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Luzern — a 46% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Luzern project for more goals (1.56 xG), Luzern have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Luzern | Metric | Thun |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | Strength rating | 55 |
| 46% | Win probability | 31% |
| D D L D W | Recent form | W W L L W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.56 | Expected goals | 1.06 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Luzern or Thun?
The model favours Luzern at 46%, with the draw at 23%.