Mexico vs England: Team Comparison
MexicovsEngland 
Comparing Mexico and England across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward England — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 31%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: England project for more goals (1.99 xG), Mexico have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Mexico | Metric | England |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 30% | Win probability | 39% |
| L W D L L | Recent form | L W L L L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.66 | Expected goals | 1.99 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Mexico or England?
The model favours England at 39%, with the draw at 31%.