Mirassol vs Gremio Porto Alegrense: Team Comparison

Mirassol MirassolvsGremio Porto Alegrense Gremio Porto Alegrense

Comparing Mirassol and Gremio Porto Alegrense across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Mirassol — a 51% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Mirassol carry the stronger recent form, Mirassol project for more goals (1.44 xG), Gremio Porto Alegrense have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

MirassolMetricGremio Porto Alegrense
55Strength rating43
51%Win probability23%
L W W W DRecent formL L L W L
0Head-to-head wins3
1.44Expected goals0.74
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Mirassol or Gremio Porto Alegrense?

The model favours Mirassol at 51%, with the draw at 26%.