Montevideo Wanderers vs C.A. Progreso: Team Comparison
Montevideo WanderersvsC.A. Progreso 
Comparing Montevideo Wanderers and C.A. Progreso across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Montevideo Wanderers — a 70% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Montevideo Wanderers project for more goals (2.21 xG), Montevideo Wanderers have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Montevideo Wanderers | Metric | C.A. Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 80 | Strength rating | 36 |
| 70% | Win probability | 9% |
| W W W L L | Recent form | D W D D L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.21 | Expected goals | 0.47 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Montevideo Wanderers or C.A. Progreso?
The model favours Montevideo Wanderers at 70%, with the draw at 21%.