USA vs Belgium: Team Comparison
USAvsBelgium 
Comparing USA and Belgium across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Belgium — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Belgium carry the stronger recent form, Belgium project for more goals (3.45 xG), Belgium have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| USA | Metric | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Strength rating | 73 |
| 35% | Win probability | 39% |
| W L W W L | Recent form | W W D D W |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 3.20 | Expected goals | 3.45 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, USA or Belgium?
The model favours Belgium at 39%, with the draw at 27%.