1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Paderborn 07: Team Comparison
1. FSV Mainz 05vsPaderborn 07 
Comparing 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Paderborn 07 across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward 1. FSV Mainz 05 — a 59% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: 1. FSV Mainz 05 project for more goals (1.91 xG), 1. FSV Mainz 05 have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Metric | Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 59% | Win probability | 19% |
| W W D W W | Recent form | D W W W D |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.91 | Expected goals | 0.74 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Paderborn 07?
The model favours 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 59%, with the draw at 22%.