Gnistan vs Mariehamn: Team Comparison
GnistanvsMariehamn 
Comparing Gnistan and Mariehamn across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Gnistan — a 69% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 16%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Gnistan carry the stronger recent form, Gnistan project for more goals (2.11 xG), Mariehamn have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Gnistan | Metric | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Strength rating | 37 |
| 69% | Win probability | 14% |
| L W W L W | Recent form | L D D L L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 2.11 | Expected goals | 0.56 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Gnistan or Mariehamn?
The model favours Gnistan at 69%, with the draw at 16%.