Cambuur vs Excelsior: Team Comparison
CambuurvsExcelsior 
Comparing Cambuur and Excelsior across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Cambuur — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Cambuur carry the stronger recent form, Cambuur project for more goals (1.46 xG), Cambuur have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Cambuur | Metric | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 41% | Win probability | 34% |
| W W W L W | Recent form | W L L W L |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.46 | Expected goals | 1.15 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Cambuur or Excelsior?
The model favours Cambuur at 41%, with the draw at 24%.