PEC Zwolle vs Ajax: Team Comparison
PEC ZwollevsAjax 
Comparing PEC Zwolle and Ajax across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ajax — a 65% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 19%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ajax carry the stronger recent form, Ajax project for more goals (1.85 xG), Ajax have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| PEC Zwolle | Metric | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Strength rating | 88 |
| 15% | Win probability | 65% |
| L L W L L | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 0.68 | Expected goals | 1.85 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, PEC Zwolle or Ajax?
The model favours Ajax at 65%, with the draw at 19%.