AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag: Team Comparison
AZ AlkmaarvsADO Den Haag 
Comparing AZ Alkmaar and ADO Den Haag across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward AZ Alkmaar — a 64% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: ADO Den Haag carry the stronger recent form, AZ Alkmaar project for more goals (2.04 xG), AZ Alkmaar have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| AZ Alkmaar | Metric | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| 79 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 64% | Win probability | 15% |
| W W D L W | Recent form | D W W W W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.04 | Expected goals | 0.62 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, AZ Alkmaar or ADO Den Haag?
The model favours AZ Alkmaar at 64%, with the draw at 21%.