Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca: Team Comparison
GuadalajaravsDeportivo Toluca 
Comparing Guadalajara and Deportivo Toluca across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Guadalajara — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Deportivo Toluca carry the stronger recent form, Guadalajara project for more goals (1.50 xG), Guadalajara have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Guadalajara | Metric | Deportivo Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 42% | Win probability | 32% |
| D L L L L | Recent form | D W D L L |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.50 | Expected goals | 1.11 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Guadalajara or Deportivo Toluca?
The model favours Guadalajara at 42%, with the draw at 25%.