Bulgaria vs Estonia: Team Comparison
BulgariavsEstonia 
Comparing Bulgaria and Estonia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bulgaria — a 59% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Estonia carry the stronger recent form, Bulgaria project for more goals (1.83 xG), Estonia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Bulgaria | Metric | Estonia |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | Strength rating | 45 |
| 59% | Win probability | 18% |
| L L L W W | Recent form | D W W W L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.83 | Expected goals | 0.77 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Bulgaria or Estonia?
The model favours Bulgaria at 59%, with the draw at 23%.