Luxembourg vs Iceland: Team Comparison
LuxembourgvsIceland 
Comparing Luxembourg and Iceland across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Iceland — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Iceland carry the stronger recent form, Iceland project for more goals (1.39 xG), Luxembourg have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Luxembourg | Metric | Iceland |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | Strength rating | 58 |
| 33% | Win probability | 39% |
| W L D D L | Recent form | W W L W L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.21 | Expected goals | 1.39 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Luxembourg or Iceland?
The model favours Iceland at 39%, with the draw at 28%.