Spain vs Belgium: Team Comparison
SpainvsBelgium 
Comparing Spain and Belgium across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Spain — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Spain project for more goals (4.02 xG), Belgium have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Spain | Metric | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Strength rating | 53 |
| 56% | Win probability | 20% |
| W L W D D | Recent form | W L W L D |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 4.02 | Expected goals | 1.88 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Spain or Belgium?
The model favours Spain at 56%, with the draw at 24%.