Heracles Almelo vs Groningen: Team Comparison
Heracles AlmelovsGroningen 
Comparing Heracles Almelo and Groningen across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Groningen — a 51% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Groningen carry the stronger recent form, Groningen project for more goals (1.55 xG), Groningen have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Heracles Almelo | Metric | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Strength rating | 61 |
| 26% | Win probability | 51% |
| L L L L L | Recent form | L W W L L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.02 | Expected goals | 1.55 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Heracles Almelo or Groningen?
The model favours Groningen at 51%, with the draw at 24%.