Stranraer vs Ayr United: Team Comparison
StranraervsAyr United 
Comparing Stranraer and Ayr United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ayr United — a 63% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ayr United carry the stronger recent form, Ayr United project for more goals (1.82 xG), Stranraer have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Stranraer | Metric | Ayr United |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Strength rating | 66 |
| 16% | Win probability | 63% |
| L L L W L | Recent form | D L D W D |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 0.72 | Expected goals | 1.82 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Stranraer or Ayr United?
The model favours Ayr United at 63%, with the draw at 21%.