Eltham Redbacks vs North Geelong Warriors: Team Comparison
Eltham RedbacksvsNorth Geelong Warriors 
Comparing Eltham Redbacks and North Geelong Warriors across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Eltham Redbacks — a 54% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: North Geelong Warriors carry the stronger recent form, Eltham Redbacks project for more goals (1.74 xG), Eltham Redbacks have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Eltham Redbacks | Metric | North Geelong Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | Strength rating | 52 |
| 54% | Win probability | 26% |
| D W L L L | Recent form | W W L D L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.74 | Expected goals | 0.89 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Eltham Redbacks or North Geelong Warriors?
The model favours Eltham Redbacks at 54%, with the draw at 21%.