Lexington vs New Mexico United: Team Comparison
LexingtonvsNew Mexico United 
Comparing Lexington and New Mexico United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Lexington — a 51% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Lexington project for more goals (1.77 xG), Lexington have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Lexington | Metric | New Mexico United |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 51% | Win probability | 21% |
| W L D W D | Recent form | L W W L W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.77 | Expected goals | 0.87 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Lexington or New Mexico United?
The model favours Lexington at 51%, with the draw at 28%.