Bahia vs Chapecoense: Team Comparison
BahiavsChapecoense 
Comparing Bahia and Chapecoense across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bahia — a 69% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 18%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bahia carry the stronger recent form, Bahia project for more goals (2.39 xG), Chapecoense have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Bahia | Metric | Chapecoense |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Strength rating | 26 |
| 69% | Win probability | 12% |
| W L L L D | Recent form | L L L L D |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 2.39 | Expected goals | 0.59 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Bahia or Chapecoense?
The model favours Bahia at 69%, with the draw at 18%.