France vs Spain: Team Comparison
FrancevsSpain 
Comparing France and Spain across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward France — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 29%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: France project for more goals (2.07 xG), France have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| France | Metric | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 42% | Win probability | 29% |
| L W L W L | Recent form | L W L W L |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.07 | Expected goals | 1.58 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, France or Spain?
The model favours France at 42%, with the draw at 29%.