Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls: Team Comparison
Philadelphia UnionvsNew York Red Bulls 
Comparing Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Philadelphia Union — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Philadelphia Union carry the stronger recent form, Philadelphia Union project for more goals (2.00 xG), New York Red Bulls have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Philadelphia Union | Metric | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 56% | Win probability | 24% |
| W D L W W | Recent form | L D L L D |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 2.00 | Expected goals | 0.94 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Philadelphia Union or New York Red Bulls?
The model favours Philadelphia Union at 56%, with the draw at 20%.