Falkirk vs Ayr United: Team Comparison
FalkirkvsAyr United 
Comparing Falkirk and Ayr United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Falkirk — a 61% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ayr United carry the stronger recent form, Falkirk project for more goals (1.96 xG), Falkirk have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Falkirk | Metric | Ayr United |
|---|---|---|
| 66 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 61% | Win probability | 18% |
| W L L L W | Recent form | W W W L W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.96 | Expected goals | 0.70 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Falkirk or Ayr United?
The model favours Falkirk at 61%, with the draw at 22%.