Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano: Team Comparison
SevillavsRayo Vallecano 
Comparing Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Sevilla — a 46% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sevilla carry the stronger recent form, Sevilla project for more goals (1.62 xG), Sevilla have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sevilla | Metric | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | Strength rating | 41 |
| 46% | Win probability | 27% |
| W W W W L | Recent form | W L L L W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.62 | Expected goals | 1.00 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sevilla or Rayo Vallecano?
The model favours Sevilla at 46%, with the draw at 27%.