Bonsucesso vs Madureira: Team Comparison

Bonsucesso BonsucessovsMadureira Madureira

Comparing Bonsucesso and Madureira across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bonsucesso — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Madureira carry the stronger recent form, Bonsucesso project for more goals (1.45 xG), Madureira have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

BonsucessoMetricMadureira
35Strength rating54
39%Win probability33%
L L D L LRecent formW L D L L
0Head-to-head wins3
1.45Expected goals1.16
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Bonsucesso or Madureira?

The model favours Bonsucesso at 39%, with the draw at 28%.