France vs England: Team Comparison
Comparing France and England across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward France — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: France project for more goals (2.24 xG), England have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| France | Metric | England |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Strength rating | 49 |
| 48% | Win probability | 25% |
| L W W W W | Recent form | L W W W W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 2.24 | Expected goals | 1.41 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, France or England?
The model favours France at 48%, with the draw at 26%.