France vs England: Team Comparison

France FrancevsEngland England

Comparing France and England across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward France — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: France project for more goals (2.24 xG), England have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

FranceMetricEngland
60Strength rating49
48%Win probability25%
L W W W WRecent formL W W W W
2Head-to-head wins3
2.24Expected goals1.41
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, France or England?

The model favours France at 48%, with the draw at 26%.