Spain vs Argentina: Team Comparison
SpainvsArgentina 
Comparing Spain and Argentina across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Spain — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 32%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Spain project for more goals (2.52 xG), Spain have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Spain | Metric | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Strength rating | 60 |
| 41% | Win probability | 27% |
| W W W W W | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.52 | Expected goals | 1.88 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Spain or Argentina?
The model favours Spain at 41%, with the draw at 32%.