PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar: Team Comparison
PSV EindhovenvsAZ Alkmaar 
Comparing PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward PSV Eindhoven — a 63% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: PSV Eindhoven project for more goals (1.98 xG), PSV Eindhoven have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| PSV Eindhoven | Metric | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 81 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 63% | Win probability | 18% |
| W L W W D | Recent form | W W D L W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.98 | Expected goals | 0.68 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, PSV Eindhoven or AZ Alkmaar?
The model favours PSV Eindhoven at 63%, with the draw at 20%.