Bahia vs Corinthians Paulista: Team Comparison
BahiavsCorinthians Paulista 
Comparing Bahia and Corinthians Paulista across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bahia — a 47% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bahia carry the stronger recent form, Bahia project for more goals (1.83 xG), Corinthians Paulista have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Bahia | Metric | Corinthians Paulista |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 47% | Win probability | 26% |
| L D W W L | Recent form | D L L L L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.83 | Expected goals | 1.10 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Bahia or Corinthians Paulista?
The model favours Bahia at 47%, with the draw at 27%.