Santos vs Chapecoense: Team Comparison
SantosvsChapecoense 
Comparing Santos and Chapecoense across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Santos — a 67% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 19%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Santos carry the stronger recent form, Santos project for more goals (1.73 xG), Chapecoense have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Santos | Metric | Chapecoense |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Strength rating | 41 |
| 67% | Win probability | 14% |
| W L W L L | Recent form | W L L L L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.73 | Expected goals | 0.47 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Santos or Chapecoense?
The model favours Santos at 67%, with the draw at 19%.