D.C. United vs Toronto: Team Comparison
D.C. UnitedvsToronto 
Comparing D.C. United and Toronto across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward D.C. United — a 51% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Toronto carry the stronger recent form, D.C. United project for more goals (1.92 xG), D.C. United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| D.C. United | Metric | Toronto |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 51% | Win probability | 25% |
| D L L W W | Recent form | D D W D W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.92 | Expected goals | 1.02 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, D.C. United or Toronto?
The model favours D.C. United at 51%, with the draw at 24%.