San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy: Team Comparison
San Jose EarthquakesvsLos Angeles Galaxy 
Comparing San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward San Jose Earthquakes — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Los Angeles Galaxy carry the stronger recent form, San Jose Earthquakes project for more goals (2.57 xG), Los Angeles Galaxy have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| San Jose Earthquakes | Metric | Los Angeles Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | Strength rating | 44 |
| 56% | Win probability | 23% |
| L W L L L | Recent form | L W L D W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 2.57 | Expected goals | 1.15 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, San Jose Earthquakes or Los Angeles Galaxy?
The model favours San Jose Earthquakes at 56%, with the draw at 21%.