Deportivo Toluca vs Club Necaxa: Team Comparison
Deportivo TolucavsClub Necaxa 
Comparing Deportivo Toluca and Club Necaxa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Deportivo Toluca — a 59% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Club Necaxa carry the stronger recent form, Deportivo Toluca project for more goals (1.88 xG), Club Necaxa have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Deportivo Toluca | Metric | Club Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Strength rating | 57 |
| 59% | Win probability | 21% |
| L L D W L | Recent form | W W W D L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.88 | Expected goals | 0.77 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Deportivo Toluca or Club Necaxa?
The model favours Deportivo Toluca at 59%, with the draw at 20%.