Deportivo Toluca vs Cruz Azul: Team Comparison
Deportivo TolucavsCruz Azul 
Comparing Deportivo Toluca and Cruz Azul across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Cruz Azul — a 40% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Cruz Azul carry the stronger recent form, Cruz Azul have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Deportivo Toluca | Metric | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | Strength rating | 64 |
| 33% | Win probability | 40% |
| L W D L W | Recent form | W W D W D |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.27 | Expected goals | 1.32 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Deportivo Toluca or Cruz Azul?
The model favours Cruz Azul at 40%, with the draw at 26%.