Ilves vs Stjarnan: Team Comparison
IlvesvsStjarnan 
Comparing Ilves and Stjarnan across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ilves — a 50% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Stjarnan carry the stronger recent form, Ilves project for more goals (1.69 xG), Ilves have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ilves | Metric | Stjarnan |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Strength rating | 52 |
| 50% | Win probability | 26% |
| L L D L D | Recent form | W W L D L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.69 | Expected goals | 0.94 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ilves or Stjarnan?
The model favours Ilves at 50%, with the draw at 24%.