Ayr United vs Arbroath: Team Comparison
Ayr UnitedvsArbroath 
Comparing Ayr United and Arbroath across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ayr United — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 29%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ayr United carry the stronger recent form, Ayr United project for more goals (1.52 xG), Ayr United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ayr United | Metric | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 41% | Win probability | 30% |
| W W W W W | Recent form | W L L L W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.52 | Expected goals | 1.10 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ayr United or Arbroath?
The model favours Ayr United at 41%, with the draw at 29%.